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The Newsroom - 2004 |
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Valley's land
prices double in 12 months

December 23, 2004 - Southern Nevada's runaway population growth has
fueled a real estate boom that has seen vacant land sale prices double over the
last 12 months. During the third quarter, property sales averaged $402,500 per
acre, or $9.24-per-square-foot (excluding outlying areas), representing a 99
percent valleywide increase over 2003, reports Applied Analysis, a Las
Vegas-based economic research firm. It was an active quarter with 598
transactions, totaling 2,463 acres worth of land movement.

"Property values continue to climb, appreciating at levels that nobody could
have historically anticipated," says Brian Gordon, a principal with Applied
Analysis. "We've witnessed phenomenal price increases due to significant
investment and acquisitions by homebuilders, commercial developers, land
speculators and institutional investors."

Lenders like Builder's Capital, Inc., have experienced a high volume of
activity, providing 163 commercial loans valued at over $200 million this year.
By comparison, the company had only 112 loans totaling $98.45 million in 2003.

"There is a lot of money looking for real estate investments here in town," says
Steve Brockman, president of Builders Capital. "Although we dealt primarily with
the same group of clients, we doubled the number of transactions and average
loan amount over last year."

The northwest valley saw the largest growth with a 107 percent increase in
average sales prices during the third quarter with 289 acres worth of land
exchanging hands. Prices are currently averaging $337,900-per-acre, or
$7.76-per-square-foot.

Meanwhile, the central/east submarket reported an unusually high amount of
activity along the resort corridor, averaging $2.2 million per acre. Sizeable
transactions included the Hard Rock's $86 million acquisition of the 23.3-acre
Paradise Bay Apartment complex at 4185 Paradise Road on September 17, plus
Krystle Sands' $26.2 million acquisition of the 3.6-acre Algiers hotel-casino at
the northeast corner of Riviera and Las Vegas boulevards, and a 7.1-acre site
for $35 million by Parball (a Caesars Entertainment company) at the
Paris/Bally's compound.

Significant jumps in average prices were also reported in the Airport/South
submarket, reaching $657,600 an acre, primarily due to a $34.8 million
acquisition by Gemstone Development of 46.7 acres on the west side of Las Vegas
Boulevard immediately south of the new South Coast Casino, plus other Las Vegas
Strip transactions at the south-end by potential condominium developers.

The southeast reported a 91 percent increase averaging nearly
$300,000-per-acre, or $6.82-per-square-foot, and the north
area saw a 73 percent gain in prices, reaching
$322,400-per-acre, or $7.40-per-square-foot. Homebuilder D.R.
Horton bought nearly 72 acres in three separate transactions
in the north submarket during the third quarter, including a
40-acre parcel that fetched $332,000 per acre.
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Although it constituted only 1 percent of the
total number of transactions during third quarter,
parcels 50 acres or larger represented 17 percent of all
land sold with an average sales price of $219,200 per
acre. The most notable transactions included a
133.7-acre parcel acquired by R&S Washburn for $36.8
million near Ann and Pecos roads in North Las Vegas;
67.7 acres purchased by D.R. Horton from Station Casinos
for $24.2 million at Boulder Highway at Tropicana
Avenue; and 53.1 acres acquired by Beazer Homes in Focus
Property Group's new Mountain's Edge master-planned
community for $210,600-per-acre.

The availability of large, contiguous parcels continues,
however, to be a concern and will likely drive land
values north. As a result, the valley's real estate
market is being reshaped with fewer single-family
residential homes expected to come online next year in
favor of more multi-family products. There are also
fewer industrial projects planned as developers struggle
to find the requisite acreage at a sensible
cost-versus-profit ratio.

"With the valley's explosive population growth, there
will be a sustained demand for the residential market,
which will continue to drive the vacant land sales,"
Gordon says. "However, property pricing will result in
denser projects as developers work to make the numbers
pencil-out."

Representing only 8 percent of all acreage sold, yet
accounting for 37 percent of all land sale transactions
in the third quarter, parcels that were less than 2.5
acres in size averaged $467,500-per-acre, or
$10.27-per-square-foot. The smaller corner and infill
land pieces are commanding a higher price per acre due
to their location within developed residential
communities. A neighboring density of surrounding homes
and infrastructure makes small lots ripe for retail-use
development.

"Pure land speculators are seeing such strong
appreciation that it has become another investment
opportunity with a 'we can't lose mentality,'" says
Gordon. "We will eventually hit the top of the market
and prices will level out ... But we don't anticipate on
that happening anytime soon."
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Article Copyright ©: Las Vegas Business Press
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