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The Newsroom - 2010 |
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Unfinished
Summerlin mall a monument to recession

Optimism takes a back seat as project
managers look for answers

January 11, 2010 -
Neil Opfer can see
the recession from his window.

Opfer is a professor of engineering and construction management at UNLV and
lives in Summerlin, not far from the half-finished construction site of the once
and future Shops at Summerlin Centre.

The site went silent on Halloween 2008, and no one knows when, or even if, work
will resume.

“I can look out my house and see the steel girders,” Opfer says.

For now, the Shops at Summerlin Centre is a hulking steel and concrete shell,
like the work of sculptor Sol LeWitt. A “Hard Hat Required” sign is faded by the
sun.

Aside from perhaps the unfinished Echelon project on the Strip, there may be no
more apt symbol of the grim power of this recession than the unfinished
Summerlin mall, which was to have one million square feet of shopping, including
high-end retailers Nordstrom’s and Macy’s, as well as office and residential
development. It was to be like a pricey New England village.

Its story embodies some of the traits of this Great Recession: Optimism that in
retrospect seems reckless; debt; crisis; and now, waste.

By all accounts, the project was a promising one and, at the time of its
conception a decade ago, made sense.

“Summerlin has one of the strongest demographics of any part of the valley. It
was fast growing, with above-average income and housing values. That pointed to
strong consumer demand,” said Brian Gordon, a principal of the consulting firm
Applied Analysis. (The firm was never involved in the project.)

“The fundamentals of the market at that time were as strong as they’ve ever
been,” Gordon said.

John Restrepo, whose firm consulted on the office portion of the project, said
all the data pointed to the project’s soundness.

The spot is adjacent to the Las Vegas Beltway as well as Red Rock Resort, and
Summerlin was growing like a prolific, upscale weed right out of the desert.

Although there is plenty of retail in Summerlin, there is no mall with the kind
of panache that the development would offer. The Meadows Mall is 10 miles from
the Summerlin site and lacks the urban-village feel.

In 2003, Howard Hughes Corp., developer of Summerlin, transferred 106 acres to
Summerlin Centre LLC; the grading permit was issued by the county in April 2007
and work began.

There were trouble signs, however.

In 2004, General Growth Properties, a massive, Chicago-based real estate
developer, bought Howard Hughes’ parent company for $11.3 billion.

The company, like the consumers it served in its malls all across the country,
was on a debt binge. All told, the company would take on $27 billion in debt,
just shy of the total gross domestic product of Uzbekistan.

The construction permit was issued in April 2008. By that point, the Las Vegas
economy’s structural weaknesses had become glaring: Too many homeowners who
couldn’t afford their homes, overcapacity of just about everything — Strip
resorts, locals casinos, retail, industrial, office and housing.

Now the future of the project, which is 40 percent complete, according to a
recent court filing, is uncertain.

General Growth filed for bankruptcy protection last year. An agreement to emerge
from bankruptcy has been approved by a judge, but the plan does not include the
Summerlin property. Eventually it will come out of bankruptcy, but even when
that happens, times have changed.

“At the time that was going on, the construction industry was going up like a
rocket,” Opfer said. “Today, don’t talk about a recession. Talk about a
depression.”

Gordon of Applied Analysis said, “During the past 18 months, market conditions
have changed dramatically — not as many rooftops.”

Meanwhile, the project’s contractors and subcontractors want to get paid.

Construction manager Vratsinas Construction filed a motion last month in the
bankruptcy case asking for permission to foreclose on liens valued at $28.3
million.

Also intervening in the bankruptcy case in hopes of getting paid are
subcontractors Precision Concrete of North Las Vegas, owed $2.8 million, and
Clark Pacific of Sacramento, owed $2.4 million.

Most disturbing, the filing raised the specter of corrosion damage destroying
the whole project: “At this time the project consists of a partially completed
steel superstructure with exposed rebar and other metal girders and parts.
Although the project was demobilized, constant exposure to weather and other
environmental elements will likely cause the exposed steel superstructure to
erode,” Vratsinas said in its filing.
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Las Vegas Sun
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Work on the Shops
at Summerlin Centre, which was to resemble a
pricey New England village, was halted more than a year ago. Sam Morris
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“Based upon
experience with other suspended projects, there is a
significant likelihood that local construction
inspectors may require the entire exposed steel
superstructure to be demolished and rebuilt if the
construction project is ever restarted.”

Opfer said this is likely scare mongering, as the dry
desert air prevents the corrosion that is common with
shuttered projects in other environments.

Jim Graham, a spokesman for General Growth, answered a
series of questions about the company and the project
via e-mail.

He said the company is consulting with engineers to
preserve the structural integrity of the steel. “We
always want to protect our investment,” he said. General
Growth hopes the rest of its holdings will emerge from
bankruptcy soon and arrive at a fair settlement of its
debts, including to the contractors of the Summerlin
project.

Graham said the company would make a decision about the
mall’s future “as market conditions improve, and we gain
a better understanding of changes in the local
marketplace, including shifts in consumer demand.”

He said the company has no intention of selling the
property, but would not rule out the possibility. What’s
not said is that the whole vision of the mall could
change if the company, or some entity that buys it,
believes Las Vegas will be a poorer city with more
tightfisted consumers in the years to come.

Still, Graham said, “We are confident that this is an
outstanding location for future retail and other
development.” Also, “We know that people who live in the
area are eager for us to create something great.”

As for the bankruptcy filing, company CEO Adam Metz said
at the time: “The collapse of the credit markets has
made it impossible for us to refinance maturing debt
outside of Chapter 11.”

Unable to restructure its debt because of the credit
crisis, and unable to sell assets for a reasonable
price, the company was forced into the bankruptcy
filing.

Graham added: “In retrospect we can see today that it is
true we had too much debt. But almost no one anticipated
the global financial collapse that caused banks to
freeze lending.”

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Author: J. P. Coolican, Las Vegas Sun
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