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The Newsroom - 2010 |
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Pricey land buy on Las Vegas Strip a bit of a surprise

February 08, 2010 -
Vacant land on the
Las Vegas Strip changed hands last week in the first such deal on the famed
4-mile corridor since the recession.

Surprised observers of the $25 million acquisition of 2.15 acres at Harmon
Avenue and Las Vegas Boulevard by developer Brett Torino and two undisclosed
partners had one key question: how to value Strip property in this — or any —
economy?

When business was brisk in Las Vegas, developers and speculators fought over
Strip parcels. Casino executives were quoted declaring the land beneath their
casinos was worth $20 million per acre. Those estimates inched upward during the
boom years, topping out at more than $30 million per acre.

Now, in the worst economy in Las Vegas history, owners are fighting to pay down
debt on that land and buyers are few and far between.

That complicates establishing the value of Strip land because comps — as the
real estate types call the sales of nearby property used in setting prices — are
scarce.

John Knott, executive vice president of CB Richard Ellis in Las Vegas, estimates
that land prices on the Strip are down 90 percent from their peak. That’s even
more dramatic than the drop in Clark County’s housing market, where prices for
existing homes are down nearly 60 percent.

That decline is why locals are puzzled by the hefty price — $11.6 million an
acre — Torino and his partners were willing to pay Clark County for the
2-plus-acre parcel on the northeast corner of Harmon and Las Vegas Boulevard.
The land fronts the Strip and is adjacent to Planet Hollywood and across the
street from CityCenter.

Grant Govertsen, a principal with casino consultants Union Gaming Group in Las
Vegas, said it would be “highly unlikely” that a developer could acquire land
for more than

$10 million per acre, build something and operate it profitably enough to cover
interest payments.

Investors could sit on the land in the hope of flipping it to Planet Hollywood’s
future owner, Strip casino giant Harrah’s Entertainment, Govertsen said.

Torino couldn’t be reached for comment on his plans for the land, which was
appraised by the county at $24.7 million. Nobody else came forward to bid on it.

Knott said he was “shocked” by the price. Small parcels on the Strip are worth
closer to $4 million per acre in today’s economy, maybe even less for bigger
parcels that must justify larger, harder-to-finance projects, he said.
“Everything’s worth less than what it costs to build and the condo market is
dead. I just don’t know what kind of development plan would justify it.”

CB Richard Ellis is marketing a 4.8-acre parcel behind Walgreens on Convention
Center Drive, near Las Vegas Boulevard, for a mere $20 million, or $4.2 million
an acre.

During the boom, casino land was valued based on a belief that Strip property
could only grow in value.

With Wall Street banks eager to invest in the Strip’s future and MGM Mirage’s
CityCenter setting a new bar for megaresort construction, it seemed — at least
for several months in 2006 and early 2007 — that land prices were but
reflections of buyers’ active imaginations.

That was a departure from previous years, when casinos were valued more
concretely, based on what they earned. Just as the real estate bubble turned
homes into vehicles for quick profit, it transformed Strip-front land into
parcels ripe for speculation. Even if half-baked resort plans didn’t pan out,
investors could simply flip the land to someone willing to pay more. Finding
interested buyers wasn’t difficult at a time when Strip resorts were breaking
tourism and profit records.

Some buyers were private equity funds with money to burn and the ability to
borrow vast sums. These equity funds, willing to bet more aggressively on the
Strip than public companies with quarterly earnings statements to worry about,
helped bid up land values in Las Vegas.

The results were spectacular.

Columbia Sussex paid $2.8 billion to acquire Aztar Corp., a 2006 deal that
valued Aztar’s 34-acre Tropicana site on the Strip at roughly $30 million per
acre.

The following year, privately held real estate developers El Ad paid $1.2
billion for the New Frontier, an aging casino that was imploded to make way for
a casino resort version of the company’s famed Plaza Hotel in New York. The $34
million-per-acre price tag, for land that’s now gathering tumbleweeds, surprised
even the most bullish casino executives.

Months later it was evident that the market, pressured by tighter lending
requirements, falling home prices and later, plummeting consumer travel
spending, had peaked. Redevelopment plans tied to both deals faltered.

Last week’s transaction was the first land sale on the Strip — excluding other
types of deals like company purchases and land exchanges — since November 2007,
county records show.

Meanwhile, Torino and other major owners of FX Real Estate & Entertainment have
run into problems managing the debt on the company’s primary asset: 18 acres
south of Harmon and Las Vegas Boulevard, just south of the parcel Torino is
picking up from the county.

FX has planned for several years to develop a casino resort and entertainment
complex on the land, now occupied by retail tenants including the
Harley-Davidson Cafe, Hawaiian Marketplace and Smith & Wollensky. |

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Las Vegas Sun
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Last week’s sale of property fronting the Strip was the first such sale since
November 2007. Photo by Leila Navidi
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Plans for an Elvis-themed resort dried up in the recession and the company,
unable to pay a $475 million mortgage that came due in January 2009, is now on
the brink of a bankruptcy that is expected to involve the sale of the land to
repay lenders. (The company wrote down the value of the land to $140.8 million
last year — $8 million per acre.)

Land prices are always a function of what buyers are willing to pay. That’s not
easy to figure out on the Strip, where land doesn’t change hands that often.

No two Strip properties are alike. Each casino earns a different amount based on
its marketing, location and customer base. Acreage at the north end of the Strip
— a district known for its low-rent casinos — might be worth less than land at
the center of the Strip, which attracts the majority of passers-by.

Land appraisers may have an even tougher challenge given a lack of buyers
willing to consummate deals.

“Given the cost of development and the economic downturn you’re not likely to
see hotel-casino projects developed anytime soon, and we haven’t seen a whole
lot of land speculation taking place in the resort corridor or (the suburbs)
because of the uncertainty that exists in the market,” said Brian Gordon, a
principal with Applied Analysis in Las Vegas.

But Las Vegas — like anyplace else — has its bulls and bears, its cheerleaders
and skeptics.

Torino — who was part of an investment group that bet big on the Riviera
casino’s parent company in the hopes of potentially redeveloping the aging
property — appears to be a true believer.
   
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Author: L. Benston, Las Vegas Sun
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